Ryan O'Reilly vs Samuel Pahlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 92.0%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 62.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
O'Reilly
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
O'Reilly
Pahlsson
Last 10: O'Reilly 6-4 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
2
O'Reilly
Pahlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Pahlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
4
6
O'Reilly
Pahlsson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
53.0% (1,716)
+3.2%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
60.0% (35)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
49.8% (548)
+1.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
O'Reilly shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,644).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Pahlsson
Home
57.6% (10,762)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
O'Reilly
Pahlsson
P1
55.6%
54.6%
P2
57.0%
50.7%
P3
55.1%
51.8%
OT
62.2%
44.8%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |