Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). O'Reilly wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Nichol 58.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Nichol leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 64.3%
Defensive zone
Nichol 59.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
O'Reilly
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
O'Reilly
Nichol
Last 10: O'Reilly 5-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
2
4
O'Reilly
Nichol
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
O'Reilly
Nichol
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
2
3
O'Reilly
Nichol
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
59.0% (948)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
42.9% (14)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
59.5% (185)
-8.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
O'Reilly shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Nichol
Home
57.6% (10,762)
59.7% (576)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
58.1% (577)
By Period
O'Reilly
Nichol
P1
55.6%
58.4%
P2
57.0%
57.3%
P3
55.1%
61.1%
OT
62.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 2, 2011 | OT | 02:08 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |