Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 60.1% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 59.5% vs Schaller 47.4% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 86.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
O'Reilly
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
O'Reilly
Schaller
Last 10: O'Reilly 7-3 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
2
O'Reilly
Schaller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Schaller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Schaller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (1,517)
46.3% (95)
+14.0%
Power Play
61.5% (387)
100.0% (1)
-38.5%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (220)
44.3% (70)
+10.7%
On power play, Schaller has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
O'Reilly shoots left. Schaller is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Schaller
Home
62.5% (1,143)
44.9% (98)
Away
57.1% (981)
47.1% (68)
By Period
O'Reilly
Schaller
P1
56.8%
55.6%
P2
64.6%
36.8%
P3
58.5%
42.2%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |