Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schaller on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Schaller 43.0% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Schaller leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 69.5%
Defensive zone
Schaller 59.8%
Neutral zone
Schaller 56.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
O'Reilly
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
O'Reilly
Schaller
Last 10: O'Reilly 7-3 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
3
4
O'Reilly
Schaller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Schaller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schaller
2
3
O'Reilly
Schaller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
42.2% (419)
+14.0%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
66.7% (12)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
36.9% (111)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
O'Reilly shoots left. Schaller is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Schaller
Home
57.6% (10,762)
42.5% (240)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
41.1% (302)
By Period
O'Reilly
Schaller
P1
55.6%
42.6%
P2
57.0%
42.0%
P3
55.1%
39.9%
OT
62.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |