Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wandell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.6% vs Wandell 45.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 54.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
O'Reilly
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
O'Reilly
Wandell
Last 6: O'Reilly 3-3 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Wandell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wandell
1
2
O'Reilly
Wandell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Wandell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,177)
43.1% (297)
+9.4%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
35.7% (14)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
61.5% (13)
-8.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
O'Reilly shoots left. Wandell is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Wandell
Home
54.9% (669)
39.5% (152)
Away
51.0% (774)
47.1% (172)
By Period
O'Reilly
Wandell
P1
52.4%
49.6%
P2
56.1%
35.3%
P3
49.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |