Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wandell on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Wandell 44.0% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Wandell leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Wandell 64.9%
Defensive zone
Wandell 59.0%
Neutral zone
Wandell 58.9%
Result
Tom Wandell favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
O'Reilly
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
O'Reilly
Wandell
Last 10: O'Reilly 5-5 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
2
O'Reilly
Wandell
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wandell
1
2
O'Reilly
Wandell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wandell
4
6
O'Reilly
Wandell
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
42.9% (791)
+13.3%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
51.3% (39)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
42.1% (38)
+9.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
O'Reilly shoots left. Wandell is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Wandell
Home
57.6% (10,762)
41.2% (413)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
45.3% (457)
By Period
O'Reilly
Wandell
P1
55.6%
45.1%
P2
57.0%
41.2%
P3
55.1%
44.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |