Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). O'Reilly wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 57.6% vs Zajac 54.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 62.2%
Defensive zone
Zajac 61.5%
Neutral zone
Zajac 62.5%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
O'Reilly
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
O'Reilly
Zajac
Last 10: O'Reilly 2-8 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
4
O'Reilly
Zajac
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
5
O'Reilly
Zajac
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (1,179)
54.1% (1,208)
+3.8%
Power Play
63.0% (292)
60.9% (230)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (320)
50.3% (179)
+3.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
O'Reilly shoots left. Zajac is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Zajac
Home
61.3% (884)
56.3% (778)
Away
54.8% (907)
53.2% (839)
By Period
O'Reilly
Zajac
P1
55.5%
56.3%
P2
61.0%
54.6%
P3
56.8%
53.1%
OT
67.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |