Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 59.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 59.5% vs Zajac 50.8% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 89.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 71.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
O'Reilly
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
O'Reilly
Zajac
Last 10: O'Reilly 8-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
0
O'Reilly
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
2
O'Reilly
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (1,517)
50.8% (775)
+9.5%
Power Play
61.5% (387)
61.5% (117)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (220)
45.0% (202)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).
O'Reilly shoots left. Zajac is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Zajac
Home
62.5% (1,143)
52.2% (536)
Away
57.1% (981)
49.6% (558)
By Period
O'Reilly
Zajac
P1
56.8%
53.6%
P2
64.6%
50.9%
P3
58.5%
48.7%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |