Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). O'Reilly wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.5% vs Zajac 57.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 67.6%
Neutral zone
Zajac 60.3%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
O'Reilly
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
O'Reilly
Zajac
Last 10: O'Reilly 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
2
O'Reilly
Zajac
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
3
O'Reilly
Zajac
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,367)
58.7% (1,044)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.4% (286)
59.2% (211)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (257)
53.9% (191)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. O'Reilly is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (709).
O'Reilly shoots left. Zajac is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,002).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Zajac
Home
59.2% (936)
60.2% (741)
Away
54.6% (974)
56.0% (705)
By Period
O'Reilly
Zajac
P1
57.3%
53.1%
P2
57.5%
62.0%
P3
55.0%
59.0%
OT
71.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |