Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Rask 50.4% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Rask 70.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 51.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
O'Reilly
Rask
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
50.6% (172)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
50.0% (4)
+10.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
O'Reilly shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Rask
Home
54.9% (801)
53.7% (82)
Away
58.7% (784)
47.9% (94)
By Period
O'Reilly
Rask
P1
58.0%
56.0%
P2
56.7%
47.5%
P3
55.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
56.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%