Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sill shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Sill 45.3% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 96.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 88.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 94.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
O'Reilly
Sill
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
O'Reilly
Sill
Last 9: O'Reilly 9-0 Sill
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Sill
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
0
O'Reilly
Sill
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Sill
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
44.5% (220)
+11.7%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
50.0% (4)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
36.1% (36)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sill shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
O'Reilly shoots left. Sill is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Sill
Home
57.6% (10,762)
45.4% (141)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
41.2% (119)
By Period
O'Reilly
Sill
P1
55.6%
48.9%
P2
57.0%
41.7%
P3
55.1%
39.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Sill
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |