Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Poehling 50.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 70.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 69.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 50.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Giroux
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Giroux
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Giroux
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Giroux
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
52.6% (622)
+7.0%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
58.3% (12)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
39.8% (103)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Giroux
Poehling
Home
65.7% (461)
53.2% (393)
Away
57.7% (515)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Giroux
Poehling
P1
60.7%
50.9%
P2
63.7%
56.2%
P3
60.2%
46.1%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |