Scouting Report
Jeff Skinner holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Skinner wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Poehling 46.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 88.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 92.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.1%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Skinner
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Skinner
Poehling
Last 6: Skinner 5-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
5
0
Skinner
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Skinner
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
46.5% (269)
+0.3%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
66.7% (3)
-18.0%
On power play, Poehling has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Skinner shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Skinner
Poehling
Home
53.8% (169)
45.2% (177)
Away
38.9% (131)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Skinner
Poehling
P1
48.1%
47.7%
P2
47.1%
44.4%
P3
46.9%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |