Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.1% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dellandrea 52.8%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 62.3%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 56.2%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Poehling
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Poehling
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
1
Poehling
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (2,726)
50.5% (1,108)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
59.4% (32)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (623)
43.4% (318)
-1.8%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Poehling shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Poehling
Dellandrea
Home
49.3% (1,688)
49.4% (741)
Away
46.9% (1,754)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Poehling
Dellandrea
P1
50.9%
49.7%
P2
47.0%
48.6%
P3
46.9%
49.4%
OT
37.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |