Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Shannon wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shannon 45.8% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shannon 62.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.3%
Neutral zone
Shannon 58.7%
Result
Ryan Shannon favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Shannon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shannon
Stamkos
Last 5: Shannon 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Shannon
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shannon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (229)
50.4% (9,711)
-6.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
55.1% (1,709)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
49.7% (819)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Shannon is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Shannon shoots right. Stamkos is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,564).
Home / Away
Shannon
Stamkos
Home
51.0% (98)
52.7% (6,198)
Away
39.6% (149)
49.2% (6,067)
By Period
Shannon
Stamkos
P1
46.1%
49.1%
P2
42.5%
52.8%
P3
43.5%
50.8%
Final 5 min
40.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shannon
52.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |