Scouting Report
Tim Stapleton holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stapleton on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Shannon wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shannon 45.8% vs Stapleton 47.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shannon 52.0%
Defensive zone
Stapleton 56.9%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 55.4%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Shannon
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Shannon
Stapleton
Last 9: Shannon 5-4 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shannon
2
0
Shannon
Stapleton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stapleton
3
4
Shannon
Stapleton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shannon
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (229)
45.6% (421)
-1.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
72.7% (11)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
50.0% (6)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Stapleton has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Shannon is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Shannon shoots right. Stapleton is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Shannon
Stapleton
Home
51.0% (98)
47.3% (222)
Away
39.6% (149)
46.1% (219)
By Period
Shannon
Stapleton
P1
46.1%
56.5%
P2
42.5%
42.4%
P3
43.5%
42.3%
Final 5 min
40.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shannon
52.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2011 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |