Scouting Report
Ryan Smyth holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 43.0% vs Smyth 45.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 64.0%
Defensive zone
Smyth 57.6%
Neutral zone
Smyth 50.4%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Smith
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Smith
Smyth
Last 8: Smith 4-4 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Smyth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
1
Smith
Smyth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smyth
2
3
Smith
Smyth
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (163)
43.2% (155)
-5.8%
Power Play
48.6% (37)
50.0% (28)
-1.4%
On even strength, Smyth has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Smith is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Smith shoots right. Smyth is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Smith
Smyth
Home
47.1% (68)
42.2% (102)
Away
35.6% (132)
44.0% (100)
By Period
Smith
Smyth
P1
32.8%
50.8%
P2
42.0%
41.3%
P3
43.8%
39.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
39.5%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |