Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.9%). Smyth wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smyth 45.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 51.2%
Defensive zone
Smyth 50.7%
Neutral zone
Smyth 52.3%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Smyth
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smyth
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (456)
45.4% (4,699)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.8% (164)
51.5% (928)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
23.3% (43)
35.0% (226)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Smyth is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Smyth shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Smyth
Gagner
Home
49.7% (340)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
40.5% (326)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Smyth
Gagner
P1
48.3%
44.6%
P2
41.7%
46.1%
P3
46.5%
47.3%
OT
25.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%