Scouting Report
Steve Begin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Begin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smyth wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Begin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smyth 45.8% vs Begin 49.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Begin leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smyth 76.0%
Defensive zone
Smyth 70.2%
Neutral zone
Smyth 71.0%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Smyth
Begin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Smyth
Begin
Last 10: Smyth 3-7 Begin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Begin
0
4
Smyth
Begin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smyth
Begin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Smyth
Begin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smyth
Begin
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (456)
52.6% (95)
-7.4%
Power Play
51.8% (164)
100.0% (1)
-48.2%
Penalty Kill
23.3% (43)
28.6% (21)
-5.3%
On power play, Begin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Begin shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Smyth shoots left. Begin is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Smyth
Begin
Home
49.7% (340)
52.1% (48)
Away
40.5% (326)
46.4% (69)
By Period
Smyth
Begin
P1
48.3%
52.9%
P2
41.7%
40.0%
P3
46.5%
55.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Begin
56.0%▲
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Steve Begin |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |