Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Strome 44.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 60.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 84.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 58.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Ryan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ryan
Strome
Last 5: Ryan 3-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Ryan
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
43.0% (788)
+7.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
47.9% (96)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
50.0% (34)
-4.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Ryan
Strome
Home
53.7% (214)
42.6% (486)
Away
46.4% (220)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Ryan
Strome
P1
45.0%
41.0%
P2
50.0%
47.8%
P3
54.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |