Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toninato wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.5% vs Strome 45.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 70.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 63.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 59.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Toninato
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toninato
Strome
Last 5: Toninato 4-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Toninato
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
3
0
Toninato
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (182)
44.4% (568)
-0.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
52.5% (61)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
31.0% (42)
-15.6%
On power play, Strome has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Toninato is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Toninato shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Toninato
Strome
Home
47.3% (91)
42.8% (367)
Away
37.0% (108)
46.1% (304)
By Period
Toninato
Strome
P1
38.0%
41.1%
P2
37.3%
44.9%
P3
49.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
41.7%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |