Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Strome 45.0% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 63.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 54.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Hughes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hughes
Strome
Last 7: Hughes 3-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
4
Hughes
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
44.1% (749)
-9.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
46.2% (52)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
52.9% (17)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Hughes
Strome
Home
32.6% (187)
45.1% (441)
Away
36.7% (166)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Hughes
Strome
P1
33.9%
42.9%
P2
34.2%
44.4%
P3
36.5%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
29.7%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |