Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Strome 44.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 51.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 65.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 67.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Hughes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
23
(49 meetings)
26
23
Hughes
Strome
Last 10: Hughes 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
7
4
Hughes
Strome
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
9
Hughes
Strome
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
14
10
Hughes
Strome
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
44.1% (6,839)
-8.1%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
49.3% (854)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
41.5% (410)
-10.5%
On power play, Strome has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Hughes
Strome
Home
36.8% (1,670)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Hughes
Strome
P1
36.9%
44.0%
P2
33.6%
45.3%
P3
38.1%
44.3%
OT
37.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
34.2%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |