Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Strome 44.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 24-22 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 51.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 61.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 68.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Hughes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
22
(46 meetings)
24
22
Hughes
Strome
Last 10: Hughes 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
7
3
Hughes
Strome
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
9
Hughes
Strome
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
13
10
Hughes
Strome
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (2,772)
44.2% (6,744)
-8.3%
Power Play
39.0% (223)
49.4% (848)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
41.5% (407)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Hughes shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,655).
Home / Away
Hughes
Strome
Home
36.7% (1,596)
44.4% (3,997)
Away
35.3% (1,441)
44.8% (4,002)
By Period
Hughes
Strome
P1
36.3%
44.2%
P2
33.7%
45.2%
P3
38.3%
44.4%
OT
37.5%
45.6%
Final 5 min
34.4%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |