Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Peca wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 54.0% vs Strome 45.0% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 53.1%
Defensive zone
Peca 73.0%
Neutral zone
Peca 63.6%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Peca
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Peca
Strome
Last 7: Peca 4-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Peca
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
3
0
Peca
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Peca
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (116)
44.4% (568)
+13.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
52.5% (61)
-52.5%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
31.0% (42)
+26.9%
On power play, Strome has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Peca is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Peca shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Peca
Strome
Home
23.5% (17)
42.8% (367)
Away
61.7% (120)
46.1% (304)
By Period
Peca
Strome
P1
55.0%
41.1%
P2
58.3%
44.9%
P3
57.1%
46.6%
Final 5 min
64.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
56.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2018 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |