Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bjugstad wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Strome 44.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 54.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 87.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 68.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Bjugstad
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bjugstad
Strome
Last 7: Bjugstad 5-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Bjugstad
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
43.0% (788)
+6.4%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
47.9% (96)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
50.0% (34)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Bjugstad shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Strome
Home
46.5% (480)
42.6% (486)
Away
48.9% (628)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Bjugstad
Strome
P1
48.7%
41.0%
P2
45.6%
47.8%
P3
49.1%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |