Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Strome 44.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 23-11 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 63.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 85.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 82.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Bjugstad
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
11
(34 meetings)
23
11
Bjugstad
Strome
Last 10: Bjugstad 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
9
4
Bjugstad
Strome
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
8
3
Bjugstad
Strome
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
4
Bjugstad
Strome
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,566)
44.2% (6,744)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.2% (828)
49.4% (848)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (612)
41.5% (407)
+2.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,311).
Bjugstad shoots right. Strome is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Strome
Home
50.0% (3,981)
44.4% (3,997)
Away
48.0% (4,025)
44.8% (4,002)
By Period
Bjugstad
Strome
P1
49.1%
44.2%
P2
49.0%
45.2%
P3
48.4%
44.4%
OT
61.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |