Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 34.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.5% vs Strome 46.8% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 69.0%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 68.0%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 67.3%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Buchnevich
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Buchnevich
Strome
Last 5: Buchnevich 1-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Buchnevich
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Buchnevich
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Buchnevich
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (197)
46.4% (371)
-8.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
43.3% (97)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
55.6% (18)
-55.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Buchnevich is 34.4% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Buchnevich shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Strome
Home
43.0% (114)
47.6% (225)
Away
30.4% (92)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Buchnevich
Strome
P1
40.0%
45.4%
P2
35.7%
47.6%
P3
35.7%
45.2%
Final 5 min
48.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |