Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 46.8%). Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 47.5% vs Gagner 47.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 70.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 77.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Strome
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Strome
Gagner
Last 7: Strome 5-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Strome
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (234)
45.6% (651)
+0.6%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
53.8% (119)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
0.0% (1)
+37.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Strome is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Strome shoots right. Gagner is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Strome
Gagner
Home
49.6% (137)
47.1% (367)
Away
44.5% (182)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Strome
Gagner
P1
56.8%
49.6%
P2
43.5%
47.9%
P3
42.6%
43.4%
OT
0.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |