Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Strome wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Gagner 46.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 57.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 60.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 51.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Strome
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Strome
Gagner
Last 10: Strome 2-8 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
7
Strome
Gagner
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
2
Strome
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
5
4
Strome
Gagner
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (6,839)
45.4% (4,699)
-1.3%
Power Play
49.3% (854)
51.5% (928)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
35.0% (226)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Strome shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Strome
Gagner
Home
44.4% (4,046)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
44.7% (4,057)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Strome
Gagner
P1
44.0%
44.6%
P2
45.3%
46.1%
P3
44.3%
47.3%
OT
46.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2014 | OT | 00:39 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |