Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.7% vs 41.2%). Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 42.3% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 67.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 60.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 55.2%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Strome
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Strome
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
3
Strome
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (1,040)
44.1% (324)
-2.9%
Power Play
43.0% (151)
40.3% (72)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
33.9% (118)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Strome shoots right. Reinhart is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Strome
Reinhart
Home
40.1% (581)
40.5% (232)
Away
43.1% (645)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Strome
Reinhart
P1
41.4%
46.4%
P2
42.9%
32.6%
P3
40.5%
45.4%
OT
45.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |