Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.4% vs Matthias 43.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 50.8%
Defensive zone
Matthias 63.9%
Neutral zone
Matthias 58.9%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Strome
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
Matthias
Last 8: Strome 3-5 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Strome
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
3
Strome
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Matthias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (337)
41.3% (358)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.8% (34)
62.5% (16)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
42.4% (59)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Strome is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Strome shoots right. Matthias is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Strome
Matthias
Home
44.3% (194)
48.5% (198)
Away
43.9% (180)
37.0% (235)
By Period
Strome
Matthias
P1
44.7%
41.9%
P2
44.1%
47.5%
P3
42.4%
37.5%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |