Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Matthias 46.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 60.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 51.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Strome
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
Matthias
Last 8: Strome 3-5 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Strome
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
3
Strome
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Matthias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (6,839)
46.4% (1,716)
-2.3%
Power Play
49.3% (854)
56.3% (103)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
41.7% (175)
-0.2%
On power play, Matthias has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Strome shoots right. Matthias is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Strome
Matthias
Home
44.4% (4,046)
46.9% (933)
Away
44.7% (4,057)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Strome
Matthias
P1
44.0%
47.8%
P2
45.3%
49.4%
P3
44.3%
41.6%
OT
46.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |