Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.2% vs Wilson 48.9% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Strome 58.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Strome
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (267)
45.5% (11)
-1.3%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
55.6% (9)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
40.0% (15)
+10.0%
On power play, Wilson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Strome shoots right. Wilson is 100.0% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Strome
Wilson
Home
42.0% (157)
33.3% (15)
Away
45.4% (141)
55.0% (20)
By Period
Strome
Wilson
P1
40.0%
46.7%
P2
46.4%
54.5%
P3
44.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
45.7%