Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Zegras 39.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 72.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 93.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 82.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Strome
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Zegras
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Strome
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (6,839)
38.6% (1,669)
+5.5%
Power Play
49.3% (854)
38.5% (148)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
28.6% (7)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Strome shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Strome
Zegras
Home
44.4% (4,046)
39.9% (882)
Away
44.7% (4,057)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Strome
Zegras
P1
44.0%
40.2%
P2
45.3%
38.0%
P3
44.3%
37.7%
OT
46.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
44.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |