Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Strome wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Johnson 49.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 59.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 59.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 62.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Strome
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Strome
Johnson
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
6
2
Strome
Johnson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Strome
Johnson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
6
Strome
Johnson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (6,839)
49.8% (5,396)
-5.7%
Power Play
49.3% (854)
54.6% (885)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
42.3% (707)
-0.8%
On even strength, Johnson has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Strome shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Strome
Johnson
Home
44.4% (4,046)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
44.7% (4,057)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Strome
Johnson
P1
44.0%
50.1%
P2
45.3%
50.6%
P3
44.3%
48.4%
OT
46.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
44.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |