Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 46.8% vs Johnson 45.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 51.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 50.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Strome
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Strome
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Strome
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (371)
44.6% (285)
+1.8%
Power Play
43.3% (97)
46.7% (60)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
16.7% (6)
+38.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Strome shoots right. Johnson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Strome
Johnson
Home
47.6% (225)
50.8% (179)
Away
44.8% (261)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Strome
Johnson
P1
45.4%
41.3%
P2
47.6%
41.8%
P3
45.2%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |