Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.4% vs Johnson 51.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 50.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 53.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Strome
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Johnson
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Strome
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (335)
51.2% (825)
-8.2%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
56.9% (160)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.1% (137)
-51.1%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Strome is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Strome shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Strome
Johnson
Home
44.5% (173)
56.9% (583)
Away
40.9% (171)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Strome
Johnson
P1
43.0%
55.1%
P2
45.9%
53.0%
P3
38.5%
48.8%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
42.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2016 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |