Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 43.5%). Strome wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.2% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 65.7%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 80.3%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 59.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Strome
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Strome
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (267)
43.2% (146)
+1.0%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
50.0% (2)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.8% (29)
+5.2%
On power play, Girgensons has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Strome shoots right. Girgensons is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Strome
Girgensons
Home
42.0% (157)
40.3% (72)
Away
45.4% (141)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Strome
Girgensons
P1
40.0%
43.8%
P2
46.4%
44.6%
P3
44.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |