Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.0% vs Girgensons 49.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 83.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 58.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 68.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Strome
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Strome
Girgensons
Last 6: Strome 2-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Strome
Girgensons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Strome
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (749)
49.0% (210)
-4.9%
Power Play
46.2% (52)
63.6% (22)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
47.3% (55)
+5.6%
On power play, Girgensons has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Strome shoots right. Girgensons is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Strome
Girgensons
Home
45.1% (441)
52.1% (142)
Away
43.5% (377)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Strome
Girgensons
P1
42.9%
54.3%
P2
44.4%
49.1%
P3
45.8%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |