Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Koivu 52.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 86.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 68.4%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
O'Reilly
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
O'Reilly
Koivu
Last 6: O'Reilly 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
52.2% (805)
-7.7%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
59.9% (152)
-11.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Koivu
Home
50.9% (112)
54.0% (639)
Away
40.4% (156)
50.7% (594)
By Period
O'Reilly
Koivu
P1
56.5%
52.7%
P2
40.4%
50.4%
P3
36.3%
54.1%
OT
75.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
35.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |