Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.4%). Look for Helm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs Koivu 52.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 56.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.1%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Helm
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Helm
Koivu
Last 9: Helm 6-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Helm
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
3
0
Helm
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
52.2% (805)
-0.8%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
59.9% (152)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
49.0% (239)
+6.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Helm is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Helm shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Helm
Koivu
Home
52.8% (371)
54.0% (639)
Away
51.0% (406)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Helm
Koivu
P1
50.4%
52.7%
P2
54.7%
50.4%
P3
50.6%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Darren Helm |