Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Koivu 52.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 66.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 62.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 52.8%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Roy
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Roy
Koivu
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Roy
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
7
Roy
Koivu
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
52.2% (805)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
59.9% (152)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
49.0% (239)
+2.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Roy
Koivu
Home
52.4% (683)
54.0% (639)
Away
48.6% (646)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Roy
Koivu
P1
48.3%
52.7%
P2
49.5%
50.4%
P3
53.9%
54.1%
OT
48.4%
47.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |