Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Roy wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Koivu 51.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 62.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 63.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.1%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Roy
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Roy
Koivu
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
1
Roy
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
7
Roy
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Roy
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
52.5% (631)
-7.2%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
49.3% (73)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
47.6% (147)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Roy shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Roy
Koivu
Home
44.9% (354)
51.3% (431)
Away
46.4% (293)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Roy
Koivu
P1
47.0%
51.9%
P2
47.2%
52.9%
P3
42.5%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
41.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |