Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 45.2% vs Koivu 52.2% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 57.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 86.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 68.2%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Skinner
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Skinner
Koivu
Last 5: Skinner 3-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Skinner
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
52.2% (805)
-10.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
59.9% (152)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
49.0% (239)
-9.0%
On even strength, Koivu has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Skinner is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Skinner shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Skinner
Koivu
Home
46.8% (77)
54.0% (639)
Away
37.8% (82)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Skinner
Koivu
P1
45.6%
52.7%
P2
40.4%
50.4%
P3
40.4%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
41.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |