Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Koivu 52.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 67.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.5%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Tavares
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Tavares
Koivu
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
5
Tavares
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
4
Tavares
Koivu
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
52.2% (805)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
59.9% (152)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
49.0% (239)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Tavares
Koivu
Home
52.8% (781)
54.0% (639)
Away
49.9% (804)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Tavares
Koivu
P1
52.8%
52.7%
P2
52.1%
50.4%
P3
48.7%
54.1%
OT
63.6%
47.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |