Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Koivu 52.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 97.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 58.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 78.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Toews
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Toews
Koivu
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
0
Toews
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
52.2% (805)
+6.3%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
59.9% (152)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
49.0% (239)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Toews
Koivu
Home
63.0% (567)
54.0% (639)
Away
55.8% (570)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Toews
Koivu
P1
59.6%
52.7%
P2
58.2%
50.4%
P3
60.7%
54.1%
OT
52.4%
47.8%
Final 5 min
59.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2011 | OT | 02:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |