Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Koivu 52.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 63.0%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Brodziak
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Brodziak
Koivu
Last 10: Brodziak 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
4
1
Brodziak
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
7
5
Brodziak
Koivu
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
52.2% (805)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.3% (105)
59.9% (152)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (242)
49.0% (239)
-1.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Brodziak shoots right. Koivu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Koivu
Home
47.8% (711)
54.0% (639)
Away
51.1% (718)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Brodziak
Koivu
P1
46.0%
52.7%
P2
52.6%
50.4%
P3
50.1%
54.1%
OT
40.5%
47.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |