Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 59.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 70.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Koivu
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Koivu
Crosby
Last 6: Koivu 4-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Koivu
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (873)
55.1% (648)
-2.4%
Power Play
63.1% (168)
58.6% (256)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (267)
47.6% (63)
+0.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Koivu shoots left. Crosby is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Koivu
Crosby
Home
56.7% (601)
57.1% (552)
Away
49.6% (738)
53.8% (429)
By Period
Koivu
Crosby
P1
51.2%
60.3%
P2
55.2%
55.8%
P3
51.3%
50.8%
OT
62.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |