Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.8% vs Crosby 53.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 59.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 70.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Koivu
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Koivu
Crosby
Last 10: Koivu 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Koivu
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
6
0
Koivu
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
2
Koivu
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (3,221)
52.8% (17,990)
-0.9%
Power Play
59.3% (437)
57.4% (4,733)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (764)
47.1% (765)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Koivu shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Koivu
Crosby
Home
53.5% (2,281)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
50.1% (2,209)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Koivu
Crosby
P1
51.1%
53.6%
P2
52.6%
53.9%
P3
51.8%
53.3%
OT
52.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
55.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |