Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Koivu wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Ott 56.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 72.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 77.3%
Neutral zone
Ott 69.7%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Koivu
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Koivu
Ott
Last 10: Koivu 8-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
1
Koivu
Ott
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
2
Koivu
Ott
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (873)
58.8% (720)
-6.1%
Power Play
63.1% (168)
52.5% (179)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (267)
53.2% (235)
-5.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Koivu shoots left. Ott is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Koivu
Ott
Home
56.7% (601)
59.3% (562)
Away
49.6% (738)
54.0% (576)
By Period
Koivu
Ott
P1
51.2%
57.3%
P2
55.2%
54.1%
P3
51.3%
58.4%
OT
62.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |